Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.039050 0.045304 0.052244 0.060518 0.070117 0.080907 0.093964
2025-12-21 0.028708 0.036747 0.046577 0.059493 0.076035 0.096538 0.123931
2025-12-28 0.023478 0.032403 0.044162 0.060808 0.083814 0.114559 0.158899
2026-01-04 0.019657 0.028855 0.041737 0.061127 0.089650 0.130205 0.192498
2026-01-11 0.016827 0.026047 0.039656 0.061250 0.094779 0.145068 0.226642
2026-01-18 0.014832 0.024069 0.038356 0.062120 0.100836 0.161744 0.265480
2026-01-25 0.013394 0.022689 0.037690 0.063737 0.108077 0.180937 0.310685
2026-02-01 0.011548 0.020347 0.035113 0.061779 0.109038 0.189862 0.339811
2026-02-08 0.010276 0.018784 0.033591 0.061335 0.112394 0.203053 0.377835
2026-02-15 0.009178 0.017366 0.032112 0.060718 0.115264 0.215592 0.416151
2026-02-22 0.008457 0.016535 0.031565 0.061699 0.121131 0.234183 0.468118
2026-03-01 0.007666 0.015462 0.030421 0.061365 0.124382 0.248139 0.512770
2026-03-08 0.006814 0.014175 0.028734 0.059799 0.125106 0.257481 0.549915
2026-03-15 0.006054 0.012974 0.027073 0.058073 0.125282 0.265761 0.586078
2026-03-22 0.005659 0.012484 0.026797 0.059203 0.131607 0.287545 0.654280
2026-03-29 0.005231 0.011866 0.026170 0.059481 0.136088 0.305907 0.717355
2026-04-05 0.004836 0.011269 0.025511 0.059594 0.140198 0.323922 0.782066
2026-04-12 0.004535 0.010849 0.025193 0.060439 0.146087 0.346674 0.861095
2026-04-19 0.004312 0.010580 0.025186 0.062012 0.153899 0.374860 0.957257
2026-04-26 0.003887 0.009772 0.023817 0.060107 0.152974 0.381993 1.001603
2026-05-03 0.003595 0.009252 0.023079 0.059675 0.155675 0.398353 1.071992
2026-05-10 0.003321 0.008747 0.022314 0.059075 0.157862 0.413676 1.141766
2026-05-17 0.003152 0.008493 0.022153 0.060029 0.164258 0.440651 1.246958